A satellite image shows chinstrap penguin colonies at Baily Head,
Deception Island, in 2003. The white patches are the colonies.
Researchers are using high-resolution imagery shot from satellites to
find, count and assess the population health of penguin and seal
colonies around the Antarctic. Photo Credit: (c)DigitalGlobe Inc.; Image
provided by National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Commercial Imagery
Program
Peter Rejcek, Antarctic Sun Editor: Penguins from outer space. Sounds
like the title of some new B-movie science fiction film starring Vin
Diesel. But polar researchers are increasingly using high-resolution
imagery shot from orbiting satellites to find, count and assess the
population health of penguin and seal colonies around the Antarctic.
"The satellite imagery is the most important advancement in my field
since satellite tagging. I think it's an absolute game-changer," said
Heather Lynch, an assistant professor at Stony Brook University involved
in a long-term census survey of brushtail and crested penguins around
the Antarctic Peninsula.
"Suddenly, we know what we don't know," Lynch explained. "We can look
through the imagery and find colonies that we never knew existed, and
look at population changes at colonies that were either inaccessible
because of their location or they were impossible to census because of
their size."
Lynch is an active user and advisory member of the Polar Geospatial
Center (PGC), based at the University of Minnesota. PGC has access,
through the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, to commercial
satellite imagery with half-meter resolution -- about the breadth of a
man's shoulders. The National Science Foundation-funded center provides
high-resolution imagery and maps for U.S. Antarctic Program research and
operations.
The main point of contact for all those users is Michelle LaRue, a
research fellow at PGC whose interest in wildlife ecology has segued
nicely with the remote sensing work. She has collaborated closely with
Antarctic researchers involved in studying the polar region's most
iconic animals, including Weddell seals and emperor penguins.
LaRue was the lead author on a paper published last year in the journal
Polar Biology that argued that satellite imagery is a reliable way to
assess seal abundance and population trends. She counted seals in
pictures in collaboration with a research group from Montana State
University (MSU) that conducts an annual population census of Weddell
seals in McMurdo Sound around an area called Erebus Bay.
"The counts are highly correlated, which basically means what we're
seeing in the satellite images is representative of what's on the ground
at the same general time," said LaRue, who is working on a PhD in
conservation biology at the University of Minnesota.
Robert Garrott, principal investigator for the MSU team, along with Jay
Rotella, also a professor in MSU's Ecology Department, said the
collaboration is beneficial to both sides.
"We can ground truth and help refine Michelle's algorithms and her
ability to actually count seals on the ice," he said. In turn, the
satellite technology and associated methodology will help the project
expand beyond Erebus Bay without chartering an expensive research
vessel.
"We can start asking questions about seal population and ecology over
larger spatial scales without all the logistic support," Garrott said.
Lynch is certainly a believer in the technology. She and colleagues have
a paper in press with Polar Biology outlining their methodology to use
satellites to survey colonies of Adelie, chinstrap and gentoo penguins
around the Antarctic Peninsula. The latter species is thriving as the
Antarctic Peninsula region warms, while the other two are in steep
decline. The paper also includes work on a crested penguin known as a
macaroni, with a prominent yellow crest that looks like long, wild
eyebrows.
Detailed counts of the penguins around the peninsula are inherently more
difficult than the seal census. The large, dark bodies of the Weddell
seals stand out starkly on the white sea ice. The terrain on the islands
around the peninsula, on the other hand, is generally dark and
snow-free in the summer months where the birds breed and raise their
young.
A combination of extensive fieldwork and familiarity with each species'
ecology helped with interpretation of the satellite pictures, according
to Lynch, a co-principal investigator on the Antarctic Site Inventory
program, which was started nearly 20 years ago by Ron Naveen, head of
the nonprofit science and education organization Oceanites Inc.
"The remote sensing stuff is pretty incredible," Naveen said. "We're not
quite putting our on-the-ground work out of business, which I'm happy
about because I really enjoy doing it, but it's really an amazing
supplement to what we've been up to for many years."
The imagery is also a valuable tool to the group's fieldwork, which
spans more than 140 locations around the Antarctic Peninsula. "We were
able to find penguins that were not on maps previously," Lynch noted.
"It's going to make the time we spend in the field much more efficient."
Satellites have been around for more than 50 years, beginning with the
launch of Sputnik I by the former Soviet Union in 1957. But it's
probably only been within the last five years or so that pictures from
space have been good enough for this sort of ecological research.
In fact, one of the first papers published on the topic was in 2007 in
Polar Biology, about estimating relative abundance of emperor penguin
colonies in the Ross Sea.
Paul Ponganis, a medical doctor and marine biologist at the University
of California-San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography, was a
co-author on that paper, along with Gerald Kooyman, an emeritus
professor at Scripps. Kooyman had gotten an exploratory grant from NSF
in 2000 to test the feasibility of using satellite pictures to census
emperor penguin colonies.
Ponganis said there are still a number of hurdles to overcome before
satellites replace the aerial surveys that he and colleagues have
conducted at seven emperor penguin colonies around the Ross Sea for the
last 20 years or so.
For instance, it's still difficult to differentiate shadows from the
black back of an emperor. Emperors stand vertically on the ice where
they breed, not horizontally like a seal, which also causes some
challenges. And the world's largest penguin also tends to congregate in
tight huddles.
Still, Ponganis is optimistic. "I think that will be the future -- the satellite," he said.
Lynch agreed that there are still obstacles associated with the imagery,
particularly around the Antarctic Peninsula, where clouds often obscure
the region, making 90 percent of the imagery unusable. Weekly shots of
Zavodovski Island in the South Sandwich Islands over a five-month period
produced only one cloud-free scene.
But she boldly predicts that in five to 10 years scientists will be able
to monitor every penguin colony in the Antarctic, from a handful of
birds to groups that are a million strong.
"I think it's going to completely change the way we do penguin science in the Antarctic," she said.
Indeed, the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) made headlines in 2009 when
it announced researchers had used satellite images to detect the light
brown stain of emperor penguin guano on the sea ice. The imagery came
from the Landsat Image Mosaic of Antarctica (LIMA), which seamlessly
stitched together satellite photos of Antarctica acquired between 1999
and 2004.
The BAS study found 38 colonies from the guano stains, four more than
were thought to exist. Ten were new colonies, while six previously known
colonies either had disappeared or could not be found. A half-dozen
colonies had relocated more than 10 kilometers away from their
last-known position.
Such data are key to wildlife conservation issues, LaRue said.
Currently, emperor penguins are a species of "least concern," according
to the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural
Resources (IUCN). But some scientists have argued environmental changes
and human impact from activities like industrial fishing are causing
problems. A paper in 2009 published in the journal Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences predicted emperors could be on the brink of
extinction by the end of the century.
"There are lots of locations where there have never been counts, so the
current estimate based on all of those sporadic, insufficient data is
not that great," LaRue noted. "By being able to do this, we can actually
see every single colony we know about and have a little bit better
estimate of how many there are. You can't tell if they're going up and
down if you don't know how many there are.
"That's the conservation issue: We don't really know how many there are,
so how can you say if they're doing fine or not?" she added.
Such is the case of a chinstrap colony on Deception Island in the South
Shetland Islands. A single satellite image from January 2003 compared to
one from January 2010 shows dramatic changes are under way, according
to Lynch.
"You can see in the imagery how a penguin colony collapses," she said.
"You look at those two images and there's absolutely no question that
there's something serious, seriously wrong going on with the chinstraps.
"It's concerning and scientifically exciting to be able to document
those kinds of changes," Lynch added. "Moving forward, we'll be able to
put together some amazing timelines."
NSF-funded research in this article: Paul Morin, University of
Minnesota, Award No. 1043681; Robert Garrott, Jay Rotella, and Donald
Siniff, Montana State University, Award No. 0635739; William Fagan and
Heather Lynch, University of Maryland College Park, Award No. 0739515;
Ron Naveen, Oceanites Inc., Award No. 0739430; Paul Ponganis, University
of California-San Diego Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Award No.
0944220.
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